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@wtrmt@mastodon.social · 23h ago
@bit101@mstdn.social from all the futures described in SF, “Solar Lottery” seemed the most outlandish, and here we are! #kalshy #Polymarket #PKD https://mastodon.social/@wtrmt/116313886106951972
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In reply to
@kkarhan@jorts.horse · 2d ago
Und falls @ZDF@zdf.social, @NDR@ard.social & Co. wirklich mal die Top-Liga des #Matchfixing sehen wollen, müssen diese nur mal sich #PolyMarket aka. "legally not #Gambling" ansehen. Denn dagegen wirkt bekannter #Wettbetrug geradezu wie #Kleinmist. Insbesondere da das #Trump-Regime bzw. deren #Geheimnisträger dort aktiv mitmachen!
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@TheBadPlace@mastodon.ozioso.online · 2d ago
NBC News Top Stories | Polymarket tries to show it can play by the rules by Rob Wile AI generated summary, Read the full article for complete information. Polymarket is attempting to prove its compliance after a special‑forces soldier, Gannon Ken Van Dyke, was arrested for allegedly using classified information about the U.S. operation to capture Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro to win roughly $440,000 on the platform; the case, coming four years after Polymarket paid $1.4 million to settle with regulators and banned U.S. users, highlights growing scrutiny from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and the Justice Department over insider‑trading risks in prediction markets. Founder Shayne Coplan said the company flagged the suspicious activity, referred it to authorities, and will continue to crack down on illicit bets, while experts note the platform’s offshore structure and public trade data create a legal gray area that regulators are increasingly targeting. Read more: https://www.nbcnews.com/business/markets/polymarket-regulators-insider-trading-rcna341928 #Polymarket #NicolásMaduro #ShayneCoplan #CFTC #Bidenadministration #GannonKenVanDyke AI generated summary, Read the full article for complete information.
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@TheBadPlace@mastodon.ozioso.online · 2d ago
NBC News Top Stories | Trump embraced the gambling industry for decades. Now he's hedging his bet on prediction markets. by Dareh Gregorian AI generated summary, Read the full article for complete information. President Donald Trump publicly lamented the growing popularity of gambling and prediction‑market betting, claiming he was never a fan, yet a review of recent events shows his administration, family, and businesses are deeply intertwined with the industry: Trump’s media arm announced a partnership with Crypto.com to launch prediction markets on Truth Social, his son Donald Jr. is an investor in Polymarket and adviser to rival Kalshi, and the White House has defended the president’s lack of direct involvement while emphasizing ethical standards; meanwhile, Trump downplayed federal charges against a U.S. special‑forces soldier accused of profiting from insider information on Polymarket, likening the case to Pete Rose’s betting scandal, and his administration has taken steps to support online betting—such as ending a Biden‑era effort to curb Polymarket and defending the CFTC’s exclusive regulatory authority against state challenges—reflecting a long‑standing family connection to gambling that dates back to Trump’s Atlantic‑City casinos and his past advocacy for online gaming legislation. Read more: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/white-house/trump-embraced-gambling-industry-decades-now-hedging-bet-prediction-ma-rcna341871 #DonaldTrump #TruthSocial #Polymarket #CFTC #PeteRose #DonaldTrumpJr. AI generated summary, Read the full article for complete information.
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@TheBadPlace@mastodon.ozioso.online · 3d ago
Slate Magazine | We’re Seeing Exactly What Happens When You Can Bet On War—and It’s Horrifying by Alex Kirshner AI generated summary, Read the full article for complete information. The article reports that a U.S. Army special‑forces master sergeant, identified as Gannon Ken Van Dyke, was charged by the Justice Department for illegally using confidential information to place large bets on the prediction‑market platform Polymarket that Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro would be ousted—profits that turned roughly $34,000 of bets into a $400,000 windfall after the January raid. It explains how insider‑trading rules are clear in traditional markets but murkier in prediction markets, where traders can profit from privileged knowledge about military or political events, and highlights the broader risks of abuse as these platforms become popular, especially under a political climate that encourages profiting from government actions. The piece also raises questions about why similar non‑military abuses are not pursued with the same vigor, critiques the industry’s attempts to portray itself as regulated, and underscores concerns that prediction markets, by allowing bets on virtually any future event, pose a growing national‑security and corruption problem. Read more: https://slate.com/technology/2026/04/polymarket-kalshi-trump-prediction-markets-maduro.html #NicolásMaduro #VanDyke #Polymarket #CFTC #military #GannonKenVanDyke AI generated summary, Read the full article for complete information.
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Boosted by Kevin Karhan @kkarhan@jorts.horse
@thejapantimes@mastodon.social · 3d ago
A U.S. Army soldier has been charged with using classified information about the timing of the capture of then-Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro to make more than $400,000 trading on Polymarket's prediction market. https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2026/04/24/world/crime-legal/us-soldier-polymarket-classified-data/?utm_medium=Social&utm_source=mastodon #worldnews #crimelegal #polymarket #us #venezuela #nicolasmaduro
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@TheBadPlace@mastodon.ozioso.online · Apr 02, 2026
The Guardian | Polymarket and other prediction platforms driving oil market, traders say by Jillian Ambrose Energy correspondent Datafeeds from platforms being used to create algorithms that determine multimillion-dollar trades on global market Energy traders say online betting platforms are directly driving the global oil market as they increasingly rely on anonymous prediction markets to determine multimillion-dollar trades. Market experts have said that datafeeds from prediction platforms such as Polymarket are being used to create the algorithms that influence trading in the global Brent crude futures market. Continue reading... Read more: https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/apr/02/energy-traders-polymarket-prediction-datafeeds-global-oil-market #polymarket #predictionplatforms #oilmarket #algorithms #futuresmarket
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@TheBadPlace@mastodon.ozioso.online · Mar 24, 2026
yahoo news | Where Will Palantir Be in 5 Years if the Polymarket Deal Pays Off? by undefined Palantir’s stock has been making headlines lately, with several recent articles noting a sudden surge in its price. On March 23, 2026, Rich Smith highlighted that Palantir stock “just popped,” while Adam Spatacco and Manali Pradhan, CFA, both emphasized that despite what many see as an absurd valuation, investors continue to buy the shares. The excitement around the company appears to be driven largely by its growing presence in the AI and data‑analytics space, which has attracted both retail and institutional interest. At the same time, analysts and market commentators remain skeptical. A March 22, 2026 piece by Patrick Sanders warned that two AI‑focused stocks, including Palantir, might be overvalued and suggested that Wall Street could be gearing up to sell before a potential 55 % drop. Danny Vena, CPA, echoed this cautionary tone, pointing out a specific problem with Palantir’s fundamentals but still stating his personal intent to buy, indicating a split between short‑term risk concerns and longer‑term confidence. Adding another layer to the discussion, Geoffrey Seiler reported a “Pentagon bombshell” that could impact Palantir’s trajectory, while a separate analysis asked where Palantir’s stock might be in three years. The mixture of hype, valuation debate, potential government contracts, and divergent investor strategies underscores the complex and highly speculative nature of Palantir’s current market narrative. Read more: https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/03/23/where-will-palantir-be-in-5-years-if-the-polymarke/ #palantir #polymarket #pentagon
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@TechDesk__dup_26315@flipboard.social · Mar 06, 2026
Prediction markets in the news are a dangerous gamble, argues @nilay_patel in his latest podcast. "Why platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket want so badly to be seen as sources of news, instead of anything-goes casinos." https://flip.it/WNaOCt #Prediction #Kalshi #Polymarket #Tech #Technology
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@SrRochardBunson__dup_32392@universeodon.com · Mar 06, 2026
"Prediction markets want to be the news" is the most dystopian sentence I've read since earlier today. "Trump said in a Truth Social post that he was moving Kristi Noem from DHS and she "will be moving to be Special Envoy for The Shield of the Americas, our new Security lnitiative in the Western Hemisphere we are announcing on Saturday in Doral, Florida." #PolyMarket #News #Kalshi #Dystopic #TTJ #trump #DHS
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@TechDesk__dup_26315@flipboard.social · Mar 02, 2026
People have spent millions gambling on politics and geopolitics via sites like Kalshi and Polymarket — so they're essentially profiting from death and war. @jasonkoebler@mastodon.social calls this the "depravity economy." Here's his story for @404mediaco@mastodon.social. https://flip.it/.y8Pv6 #Iran #Kalshi #Polymarket #Betting
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@ItalianNews@mastodon.ozioso.online · Mar 02, 2026
Punto Informatico: Guerra in Iran e insider trading: l’ombra su Polymarket Oltre mezzo miliardo di dollari puntati sull'attacco all'Iran con Polymarket: luci e ombre della piattaforma per scommettere su tutto. The post Guerra in Iran e insider trading: l’ombra su Polymarket appeared first on Punto Informatico. War in Iran and insider trading: the shadow over Polymarket Over half a billion dollars bet on an attack against Iran with Polymarket: the pros and cons of the platform for betting on everything. The post Iran War and insider trading: the shadow of Polymarket appeared on Punto Informatico. #Polymarket #IranWar #PuntoInformatico https://www.punto-informatico.it/iran-polymarket/
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@drrjv__dup_31966@vmst.io · Feb 25, 2026
Yeah, so... Substack, I'm out “Substack announced a new partnership with #Polymarket earlier this week. I guess if #Substack is the future of media (it isn’t), then the future of media is gambling. (That’s bad though. You see why that’s bad, right?) Unsurprisingly, I hate it. This is noxious for society and particularly toxic for writers. Basketball blogger Tom Ziller articulated the problem well in his newsletter this morning” https://davekarpf.substack.com/p/yeah-so-substack-im-out
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@NewsDesk__dup_1582@flipboard.social · Feb 12, 2026
Two Israelis have been charged with using classified information on military operations to place bets on the prediction platform Polymarket, authorities say. Read more from @NBCNews@flipboard.com https://flip.it/DA._Yn #Israel #Polymarket #Military #Betting #Gambling #Army
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